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Greg McPhee
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 25 August 2004
Location: United Kingdom
Posts: 5065
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| Posted: 14 August 2020 at 2:35am | IP Logged | 1
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Kamala Harris' record as a prosecutor is something only a sadistic conservative would love. So perhaps Biden really has found his Sarah Palin.
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I give up.
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David Allen Perrin
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 15 April 2009
Location: United States
Posts: 3532
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| Posted: 14 August 2020 at 1:39pm | IP Logged | 2
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“Colin Robinson.”
I’m not supposed to laugh in this thread.
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Juan Jose Colin Arciniega
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 16 April 2004
Location: United States
Posts: 6413
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| Posted: 14 August 2020 at 5:03pm | IP Logged | 3
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Byrnewell Predicts:Biden wins an even larger slice of the popular vote than Clinton. Trump loses a few disgruntled supporters, but still takes the Electoral College. Democracy is TRUMPED once again. ------------------------------------------ Great!...My first presidential election on which I can vote and we cannot get rid of tRump.
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Peter Hicks
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 30 April 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 1886
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| Posted: 14 August 2020 at 9:57pm | IP Logged | 4
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I have a hard time picturing tRump gaining voters anywhere in the union, but a fairly easy time picturing people who did not bother to vote for Hillary showing up in November to vote against tRump. I don’t see the path for him to win the electoral college, unless circumstances change drastically. And tRump himself is incapable of change.
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Jason Czeskleba
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 30 April 2004
Posts: 4548
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| Posted: 14 August 2020 at 11:30pm | IP Logged | 5
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Peter Hicks wrote:
| I don’t see the path for him to win the electoral college, unless circumstances change drastically. |
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If every registered voter who wants to vote is actually able to cast a ballot that is counted, then Trump should lose. But given what he's doing to the USPS, and what his cronies in state governments are doing to sabotage access to polling places and/or timely access to absentee ballots, that is hardly a given.
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John Byrne
Grumpy Old Guy
Joined: 11 May 2005
Posts: 132234
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 5:27am | IP Logged | 6
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Again, it’s not about how many vote, it’s about WHERE they vote.
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Brian Miller
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 28 July 2004
Location: United States
Posts: 30886
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 8:57am | IP Logged | 7
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Exactly. Remember, Hillary got more total votes than Trump last time.*
But a presidential election isn’t about that. As JB said, it’s every bit
about WHERE all the votes are cast. Trump had more votes for him in
all the right places.
* A fact he still can’t accept.
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Peter Hicks
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 30 April 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 1886
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 12:40pm | IP Logged | 8
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And the choice of Kamala Harris was criticized because she’s from California, and that state already firmly votes Democrat. But a closer look indicates her presence has energized the West Indies community. The mixed Indian/African community is admittedly not huge, but where does the biggest population of them live?
Florida. About half a million of them. And she is all they are talking about.
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Jason Czeskleba
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 30 April 2004
Posts: 4548
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 1:09pm | IP Logged | 9
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At this point, Biden is leading in enough swing states to win (by margins that exceed the margin of error, unlike Clinton). Unless this changes, it will come down to how successful the Republican efforts are to sabotage the postal service and disallow absentee ballots in those states. I suspect there will be at least one swing state where there will be a massive legal battle over whether or not to count absentee ballots that arrived "late" due to postal sabotage.
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Rick Senger
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 16 April 2004
Location: United States
Posts: 9639
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 1:25pm | IP Logged | 10
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Biden currently leads Florida by 5.4% according to the below poll. Biden's margin has risen +0.3% since Harris was announced as running mate. Not a big deal yet, but had Trump not eked out Florida's big 29 electoral votes in 2016 by 1.2%, the race would quite tight. And he trails considerably in many of the other key states he barely won four years ago.
Hillary also had leads at this point in 2016 and blew them but the difference is that COVID wasn't around then. Come the fall, many public health experts fear the pandemic is going to get considerably worse. If that happens right before and during the election, I don't see how Trump wins (barring more blatant vote by mail USPS sabotage or the like.)
Link
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Peter Hicks
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 30 April 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 1886
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 6:50pm | IP Logged | 11
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Don’t forget that Hillary sharply declined in the polls about a month before her election date when the FBI announced it was reopening the investigation into her emails. Hopefully both parties learned not to nominate candidates under active FBI investigation.
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Kevin Brown
Byrne Robotics Member
Joined: 31 May 2005
Location: United States
Posts: 8841
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| Posted: 15 August 2020 at 7:49pm | IP Logged | 12
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Kamala Harris' record as a prosecutor is something only a sadistic conservative would love. So perhaps Biden really has found his Sarah Palin.
***********************************
You're an idiot and you're proving that you do not know what you're talking about.
SMH.
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